fully autonomous cars are probably decades away from reality, at least for Nicholas Carr , the writer whose books about technology and culture seek to contain the excitement about scanning all.
“I think that many of the views of the full automation assume that every vehicle will be automated and the whole direction of infrastructure will not only be mapped in minutes, but will also be equipped with the type of sensors and transmitters and all network infrastructure that we need, “says Carr to CIO.com . Enthusiasts autonomous cars and their technology in general should certainly disagree with Carr.
No surprise there. In May 2003, the Harvard Business Review published the book, “IT Does not Matter” , where Carr raised the ire of big names in technology which challenges the notion that the IT infrastructure provides benefits strategic companies.
Now, Carr is back with a new book, “Utopia is Creepy: And Other Provocations” out by the American publisher Norton & amp; Co. on 6 September. It is a compendium of articles, such as “Would Google making us stupid?” And “Life, Liberty and the pursuit of privacy.”
The software can be engulfing the world, but to Carr the that constantly disturbs him is the irrational exuberance posed by Silicon Valley, which teaches that technology is the answer to everything, such applications would start world peace and would end hunger in the world.
following in an interview with CIO.com , Nicholas Carr talks about his new book and the idea to him utopian that robots and artificial intelligence will conquer all.
CIO: “Utopia is Creepy” what is the premise
Nicholas Carr: Utopia is Creepy is a collection of articles written and published on my blog “Rough Type” in the last twelve years. it’s like a kind of ‘greatest hits’ of the blog, as well as some articles I wrote at the same time, including “Would Google making us stupid?”, which is perhaps the best known.
When the blog was ten years old in 2015, I began to look back through the posts and I realized that many of the items still resounding today.
I also began to see that I had given descriptions of what was happening in the world of technology, particularly in the rise of what we used to call Web 2.0 and is now known as social media and social networking. It was also a critical ideology of Silicon Valley – the sense that the Internet and social media were breaking down the barriers to personal expression, freeing people and as if we our trust in Silicon Valley and its programmers to lead a kind of Utopia. It is a collection of articles, but with a theme running through it.
CIO: What are some examples of irrational exuberance in Silicon Valley that comes to mind you
Carr: when we saw the resurrection of the Internet after the great explosion of the ponto.com , there was this feeling that the walls of traditional media gatekeepers and the news would be dropping and there was a golden age of people in control of their own expression and that they read. This was a very strong theme at the time. A Wired cover story bore the headline: “We are the web” which presented it as a new world would open. And what we’ve seen since then has been quite different. The old gatekeepers, or ‘guardians’ of the news, were replaced by companies like Facebook and Google and companies today really have become the new media companies and basically are controlling the entire flow of information.
Another example is the sense that we humans need to get out of the way and allow algorithms and robots take all somehow – at least, is how it is presented – robots are more reliable and more perfect and faster than human beings. This is translated by Silicon Valley and others that we will all be released and will not need to work harder to give our jobs to machines, computers and robots to have all the available time to be more creative.
CIO: What I have heard from MIT, other researchers and market analysts is that robots will support humans in their work, rather than replace them completely.
Carr: There is a well-grounded philosophy to this notion that, ultimately, artificial intelligence and robots will take the bulk of the work. I still think it’s a common theme coming out of Silicon Valley people like Peter Thiel and Marc Andreessen, who explicitly say it could take a little time, but ultimately, as Andreessen put it, software is eating the world and we’ll find out what happens post-work environment
This is a dream that came in since the Industrial Revolution -. that machines will take over everything – and never materialized. This is not to say that there have been no major technological changes in the workforce, there yes, but I think it is an expression of faith when they say that computers solve, in a magical way, difficult problems with which we will always be dealing with.
The danger here is that, often, as a society, we are likely to buy this idea that if automatizarmos, for example, the health sector, suddenly we have an efficient system that will heal a number of diseases. It also has the effect, very often, generating complacency, we will not have more to suffer these things for that technology will solve all these problems.
CIO: Yes, I can see that. Every time we have a major breakthrough in machine learning, as a winning computer from a human in the Go game, the animation is gone as they are reminded how far we are from a real artificial intelligence.
Carr: You have to suspend your disbelief when interacting with their computers or smartphones not to recognize how far we are [artificial intelligence]. And this is not to minimize our great advances. If you notice driverless cars, particularly when Google announced in 2010 that had a car running alone in well-mapped roads and it was great that, the announcement came at a time when people said that the direction of a car is something that computers never They assume that depends on all these skills and intuition to build. Still, I think we are still far from a fully automated vehicle. But yes, it’s really something amazing what has happened in the area.
CIO.com : When listening Google, Tesla and other manufacturers, the autonomous technology for cars seems to be closer to reality. How far we are, then this reality, where we will see fully autonomous cars?
Carr: I think we get up to 99% [of the technology needed for fully autonomous cars] very quickly, but this will be enough? I do not think so. Because the direction has so many uncertainties. It seems to me that to get to the point of complete automation, you have all that kind of structural change.
You have to deal with the fact that our automotive fleet is lasting. It takes many years to replace the cars that people drive, which means you will have fully autonomous vehicles, semi-autonomous and run by human vehicles on the road at the same time and this is very, very complicated.
I think that many of the views of the full automation assume that every vehicle will be autonomous and the entire direction of infrastructure will not only be mapped in minutes, but will also be equipped with the type of sensors and transmitters and the entire infrastructure network we need. And for me, it will take a long time. – Decades
That said, I think you may have areas where able to isolate autonomous vehicles. You can envision a kind of system which automates the transport of long-haul. And you may have a Google offering taxi service with driverless cars. But I think that dream where everything will be automated in the coming years is unreal.
CIO: And how do you see the evolution of the CIO role
I see a dual role for CIOs. As we move toward an area where you are no longer in control of IT, how to manage the data center that your company uses, you become the broker of all IT capabilities, both within the company and outside, and you become a strategic broker to find out how we get the right mix of skills and where they should come. And I think you need smart people to do this in the companies.
The other is a more strategic role to find out where we should invest it so that will give us a competitive advantage. This is an important role is the figure of a CIO or other company spaces that, I think, will always be under tension.
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